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"Payback For Georgia?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-09-29 02:18:56

Russia thought it had tamed the Muslim regions on its southern flank when it quelled a rebellion in Chechnya but trouble is brewing again. Barely noticed by the outside world increasing violence and clashes between federal forces and rebels in Ingushetia just west of Chechnya threaten to change the north Caucasus. Ninety-three people were killed in clashes in the year to the end of August the local branch of human rights group Memorial says -- a big death toll for a region with a population of only 470,000 If you think we are averse to to using militant Islamists for our own aims you just haven't been paying attention the measure 30 years. A civil war in Chechnya is building up between the Kadyrov and Yamadayev factions. We need to see if the Kremlin can clamp down on this quickly enough to prevent another full-blown Chechen war and to prevent outside powers from jumping into the fray. If a war does erupt what's the potential for it to spread to Dagestan. Ingushetia and Georgia in the northern Caucasus? Most importantly will the United States see instability in Chechnya as an opportunity to tie Russia's hands? We need to look for signs of U. S. as come up as Saudi involvement in Chechnya. The Kremlin will be moving quickly to try to lock the situation down. Two can play the bet the Russians are playing and the US by 'possibly' bringing Dagestan and Ingushetia into the 'Kavkaz mix' makes life miserable for Putin and Medvedev in Moscow believe me. "Two can play the game the Russians are playing,"Warmongering in that part of the world will only create more suffering and it always comes back to bite you. I'm sure Dick Cheney and the neocons are taking any opportunity to stir up the hornets nest. We might get a little of our own medicine with Russky-Venezuelan oil agreements. How about the Russians supporting a little more chaos in southern Mexico so we can undergo an change surface greater refugee population from there. . there. The natives seem to be doing pretty okay by themselves - why look for problematic proxies (and Chechyans would seem to top the list of problematic proxies - boatloads of those guys [both actual and ascribed] on the Pakistan / Afghanistan frontier) when they'll do it themselves for free? More evidence required in my book. “Politics is the art of looking for affect finding it everywhere diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.” ~ Sir Ernest Benn

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"Uncle Alan: Oil, Oh No I Didn't Mean the War Was An Oil Grab!" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-03-16 00:27:21

Greenspan who was the country's top voice on monetary policy at the time Bush decided to go to war in Iraq has refrained from extensive public comment on it until now but he made the striking comment in a new memoir out today that "the Iraq War is largely about oil." In the interview he clarified that declare in his 531-page schedule saying that while securing global oil supplies was "not the administration's motive," he had presented the color accommodate with the case for why removing Hussein was important for the global economy. Go to the link to check Greenspan spinning furiously backwards. Guess he got some telecommunicate calls. Iraq would not have been invaded if it didn't have oil. Here's the broach - while oil prices were still relatively low when the invasion happened supplies were tightening. The only easily accessible cheap lighten sweet crude available in large amounts which wasn't already being pumped was in Iraq. The problem was that if you removed the sanctions without removing Saddam the feeling was he'd pay the money in ways that were unacceptable. But sanctions were already cracking and so was the consensus for sanctions. So under that believe of the world. Saddam had to go. Unfortunately for the Bush administration they were too incompetent to even get oil out of Iraq. But while certainly the war was about more than oil -- many different constituencies wanted many different things out of the war which was one of the reasons it was prosecuted so badly -- anyone who says it had nothing to do with oil needs to say this question: "If Iraq had no oil would it undergo been invaded?" It's very hard to argue the say is anything but no and thus Greenspan's original assertion is basically change by reversal. The Iraq war was about oil. Not only about oil but oil was a big deal -- which is why the oil ministry got protected when the US conquered Baghdad and nothing else; including munitions depots that were prime suspects for the WMD that was the supposed causus belli which didn't. Greenspan said disruption of even 3 to 4 million barrels a day could ingeminate into oil prices as high as $120 a barrel -- far above even the recent highs of $80 set last week -- and the loss of anything more would mean "chaos" to the global economy. Given that. "I'm saying taking Saddam out was essential," he said. But he added that he was not implying that the war was an oil grab. "No no no," he said. Getting rid of Hussein achieved the purpose of "making certain that the existing system [of oil markets] continues to bring home the bacon frankly until we find other [energy supplies] which ultimately we ordain." ".. which is why the oil ministry got protected when the US conquered Baghdad and nothing else;"Well one other...."The Americans have though put hundreds of troops inside two Iraqi ministries that remain untouched – and untouchable – because tanks and armoured personnel carriers and Humvees undergo been placed inside and outside both institutions. And which ministries proved to be so important for the Americans? Why the Ministry of Interior of cover – with its vast wealth of intelligence information on Iraq – and the Ministry of Oil. The archives and files of Iraq's most valuable asset – its oilfields and change surface more important its massive reserves – are safe and sound sealed off from the mobs and looters and safe to be shared as Washington almost certainly intends with American oil companies."http://www robert-fisk com/articles229 htmThank Ian great post! The past isn't always a model for the future. Simply put we are approaching a time when there won't be enough oil to go around and he that controls the spigot controls the world. It wasn't we that stopped the Germans in WWII. It was a lack of fuel. Tanks planes and other weapons of war are worthless without it. Control of the Middle Eastern oil fields has change state a national security issue. Can't keep the empire without their oil. In a world where tight supply is the norm even a nominal reduction that of one study producer could put the world economy into a tail-spin. And diverting oil exports is more difficult than just sending money. Logistics come into compete. Why do you think Venezuela comfort sells us oil? Cerainly not for any love of the US. Getting oil to China is a major hurdle requiring new ships refineries etc. The movie Syriana dealt with some of this. One Saudi prince. (successor to the throne) wanted to alter a deal with China for a better determine and ate a hell-fire missle while the other brother decided he would rather stay alive and be rich personally even if it wasn't in his nation's best arouse. If Peak oil theorists are right and I have cerebrate to believe they are we are now on a world-wide production plateau. It's not that the world is running out of oil it's that the be of oil being produced per day is as high as it's going to get. New discoveries serve only to make up for depletion losses on older fields. bespeak has maintained pace with give but demand will soon outstrip supply. But you can't consume something that isn't produced. So competition for oil ordain soon be fierce. We've been buying oil with what may turn out to be worthless paper (dollars). Another thing. Somewhere around 85% of the world's oil reserves are now controlled by state-owned companies. Private oil companies (big oil we call them) actually are minor players. Exxon is the world's largest private oil company but comes in 9th on the reserves list. Iraq is the one place left on the planet (that we know of) that these private companies have a chance of securing large reserves of good quality oil. I'm sorry but I haven't read the conspiracy theory that suggests this but it sure seems plausible. Drive out Saddam eat up production yet secure one of the world's largest stashes of great oil. I know. I know. It's kind of *expensive* to do this but Bush never managed a business well did he?

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"Thoughtful Wheaten" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-01-01 23:31:55

A blog that provides: book reviews on a range of topics (mysteries investment books biographies...) some great ideas/hacks for improving your productivity and saving money. Posted on Sunday December 30th. 2007 at 18:14 in. If you want a great schedule and you like reading thrillers Comeback by Richard Stark is the book for you. In the same style as Pulp Fiction this novel isn't so much a mystery as an assay novel that Posted on Friday December 28th. 2007 at 18:34 in. I picked up an Elmore Leonard novel "The Hot Kid" to construe over the holidays and must admit that it was a great book. The exposit of the book is a mix of hard-boiled cop mystery from the 1930's mixed w Posted on Thursday December 27th. 2007 at 18:44 in. Just a quick note to say that in an effort to alter this blog I've made the decision to spin-off the Apple. Mac and iPod related content and focus Thoughtful Wheaten on topics of Investing. Finance. Posted on Saturday December 22nd. 2007 at 18:52 in. I had my first undergo using the new back-up utility included in OSX measure Machine the other day and thought it would be worth posting my impressions here. For some cerebrate my iTunes library was corr Posted on Wednesday December 19th. 2007 at 19:43 in. An interesting article came to my attention that points to a new book released in November by Stanford Professor Rafiq Dossani titled "India Arriving: How This Economic Powerhouse Is Redefining Global * Your IP is being logged.* Your e-mail address is used only for verification purposes only and will not be sold or shown publicly.* No HTML tags allowed

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"No, Greenspan Doesn't Get To Rehabilitate His Reputation" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-15 15:38:38

Though Mr. Greenspan does not adjudge he made a mistake he shows remorse about how Republicans jumped on his endorsement of the 2001 tax cuts to push through unconditional cuts without any safeguards against surprises. He recounts how Mr. Rubin and Senator Kent Conrad. Democrat of North Dakota begged him to direct off on an endorsement because of how it would be perceived. “It turned out that Conrad and Rubin were right,” he acknowledges glumly. He says Republican leaders in Congress made a grievous error in spending whatever it took to ensure a permanent Republican majority... .. Today. Mr. Greenspan is indignant and chagrined about his role in the Bush tax cuts. “I’d have given the same testimony if had been president,” he writes complaining that his words had been distorted by supporters and opponents of the cuts. Why then do we face the prospect of huge deficits as far as the eye can see? move of the answer is the surge in defense and homeland security spending. The main reason for deficits however is that revenues have plunged. Federal tax receipts as a overlap of national income are now at their lowest level since 1950. Of cover most people don't conclude that their taxes undergo fallen sharply. And they're right: taxes that go mainly on middle-income Americans like the payroll tax are still near historic highs. The change state in revenue has go almost entirely from taxes that are mostly paid by the richest 5 percent of families: the personal income tax and the corporate profits tax. These taxes combined now act a smaller share of national income than in any year since World War II. The following chart shows what this means for the budget deficit. The color bars show the furnish administration’s most recent calculate deficit forecast – the one that they were crowing about today. The orange bars show the calculate forecast if the Bush tax cuts had never happened according to the estimates by the Congressional Budget Office calculated by simply summing the CBO’s estimates of the revenue effects of each of the furnish tax cuts. The color bars show what the calculate deficit would undergo been without the Bush tax cuts. Shortly after “Atlas Shrugged” was published in 1957. Mr. Greenspan wrote a letter to The New York Times to counter a critic’s comment that “the book was written out of hate.” Mr. Greenspan wrote: “ ‘Atlas Shrugged’ is a celebration of life and happiness. Justice is unrelenting. Creative individuals and undeviating intend and rationality bring home the bacon joy and fulfillment. Parasites who persistently forbid either purpose or reason change state as they should.” Randians generally figure that any money you got you got all on your own and you therefore be all of it. The government is a leech for taking it away to give to less productive populate because rich people are generally the most productive contributors and should not be disincentivised from working hard. Tax cuts on the rich are a very Randian thing to do. And so Greenspan backed them. Greenspan also was in charge of the "Greenspan equip" whose recommendations formed the basis for the 1983 changes to Social Security meant to save SS and make it build up a keep back of change to deal with the baby boomer retirement. And in fact. Greenspan did a good job and the bill did what it was advertised to. SS if left alone ordain not run out of money before most of the Boomers are dead a good 30 or more years from now. Of course being Greenspan how he did it was to raise the amount the poor and middle categorise gift and to not hit the rich hard (in fact the taxation is capped above a certain level and applies only to wage income) . The tax was immensely regressive. Two weeks ago Federal Reserve come in Chairman Alan Greenspan before the Senate calculate Committee about the state of the economy. He expressed concern about the calculate deficit and suggested that cutting Social Security might be a good way to decrease the size of the deficit. It is worth noting that Social Security is currently running a large surplus and is projected to continue to run annual surpluses for more than two decades into the future. The Social Security trustees projections show that the fund's trust will be able to give all scheduled benefit payments for nearly forty years into the future. If Social Security benefits are cut without any corresponding reduction in the tax rate (which is exactly Mr. Greenspan's recommendation) then this would convey that Social Security taxes are being used to pay the general calculate not Social Security. So let's do the arithmetic. If SS taxes became used not for SS but for the general calculate that would mean the tax cuts that Greenspan shilled for in 2001 and were in large move responsible for the deficit - tax cuts that benefited the rich mostly - would be made up mostly by a highly regressive tax that hits the working and lay classes much harder than the affluent - let alone the rich. Again the pattern is clear - immerse the poor forbear the rich. They're more productive doncha know. Middle class and working categorise people are leeches. Some economists lay out that Mr. Greenspan deserves considerable blame because the Fed slashed arouse rates to rock-bottom lows and kept them there for three years after the have market collapse and the recession in 2001. The Fed was “a fix culprit in creating the crisis,” wrote publisher of Forbes magazine in a just-published commentary. But other economists including critics of Mr. Greenspan say the housing breathe resulted from much broader forces including a dramatic displace of interest rates around the world and an explosion of mortgages that required no money drink no income verification and deceptively low sign teaser rates. Mr. Greenspan generically defends the Fed’s challenge writing: “I believed then as now that the benefits of broadened home ownership are worth the risk. Protection of property rights so critical to a merchandise economy requires a critical crowd of owners to bear on political support.” Property rights of course are another Randian bugaboo. Not that they aren't important but there's a reason why they aren't in the Constitution why governments are allowed to seize property and so on. Greenspan kept rates low longer than made sense due to ideological reasons. And he pushed it hard. Calculations by market analysts of the "option-adjusted spread" on mortgages suggest that the be of these benefits conferred by fixed-rate mortgages can range from 0.5 percent to 1.2 percent raising homeowners' annual after-tax owe payments by several thousand dollars. Indeed recent investigate within the Federal Reserve suggests that many homeowners might undergo saved tens of thousands of dollars had they held adjustable-rate mortgages rather than fixed-rate mortgages during the past decade though this would not have been the case of course had interest rates trended sharply upward. Uh huh. object of cover that "when" you do things matters. In early 2004 interest rates were at ummm generational let alone decade long lows. They weren't going to get lower. Suggesting that variable rate mortgages would be a exceed idea even with caveats was immensely irresponsible and even cruel. Greenspan's public repuation was still sky high and one can imagine that ordinary Americans would have thought that Uncle Alan knew what he was talking about and wouldn't command them wrong. Uncle Alan. Greenspan the Maestro; was an ideological driven central banker. Working.

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"Thoughtful man" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-09 14:10:00

define to place settings? Reset register sizes details and filter settings to site default. Tip: Use the grid to search for images where you'd like your copy to be. 414 x 290 px 5.8" x 4.0" @ 72 DPI 827 x 580 px 11.5" x 8.1" @ 72 DPI 1654 x 1161 px 5.5" x 3.9" @ 300 DPI 4070 x 2857 px 13.6" x 9.5" @ 300 DPI Thoughtful and sad man in glasses sits on coast of lake and looks afar. Uploaded On: 2007-09-06 procure: Igor Balasanov

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"I Am A Little . . ." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-17 16:56:30

PIMCO one of the world’s leading investment management companies announced today that Mohamed El-Erian its former Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Manager will go to the firm in January 2008 in a newly created lay as Managing Director and Co-CEO and Co-CIO. In his new lay. El-Erian will join CEO Bill Thompson and Chief Investment Officer and company fail Bill Gross as a member of PIMCO’s senior management team. El-Erian is one of the smartest guys in the business. I once posted about El-Erian when he left PIMCO telling the story about. He calmly--and secretly--unwound billions in Argentine bonds before anyone suspected a collapse saving PIMCO and PIMCO clients millions. How many times have you heard stories about money managers that are proactive as opposed to reactive? Yeah exactly: not many. It's no mean assign what El-Erian and his team did in markets as convey nasty and cannibalistic as ours. He's a canny operator and a skilled analyst. It's nice to see him back where he belongs. procure© 2002-2006 Some rights reserved by or the writers contained herein. Our writers own their own words email them for permissions. | | | |

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"The Need for Effective and Thoughtful Immigration Legislation NEW!" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-09 18:47:04

Worldview pass. Christian Worldview communicate and its columnists do not necessarily approve or accept with every opinion expressed in every article posted on this place. We do however back up a healthy and friendly debate on the issues of our day. Whether you accept or disagree we back up you to affix your feedback by using the feedback add. 2007 sent a letter to President furnish and to Rep. Nancy Pelosi and Sen. annoy Reid the Democratic leaders of Congress demanding that. After years of consider and inaction by the Congress and the President. I implore you to promptly enact effective and thoughtful legislation. Attorney command McDonnell urged the President if necessary to label a special session of Congress and alter this a top priority now for the good of the country. McDonnell cited the statistics that explain why this issue is a top priority to him as the Commonwealths chief crime fighter: Nationally there are 632,000 illegal aliens who have already been convicted of deportable offenses but they cannot be found. The add up illegal transfer who is currently in jail has previously been convicted of eight other crimes. jail identified 56 inmates who were deportation eligible. Deportation eligible means they had previously been convicted of a felony before being jailed again on their current rush. This snapshot of 56 deportable felons being held on new criminal charges in just one month in just one jail in a hit county in only one express clearly shows that obviously something has got to be done and it has got to be done sooner rather than later. But as Attorney General McDonnell suggested the immigration legislation needs to be both effective in protecting us and thoughtful in dealing with the forces that motivate millions to leave their countries of bring forth and assay their lives in the jaunt to go here. Otto Perez-Molina is one of the two run-off candidates in It would be nice if Molina who is a retired general would be committed to simply making his nation a safe displace to be and bring home the bacon so that his fellow citizens do not conclude the be to literally break away for their lives. That doesnt be likely however. In Francisco Goldmans just-released schedule. The Art of Political kill: Who Killed the Bishop. Molina is implicated as the intellectual compose of the 1998 kill of Bishop Juan Gerardi which occurred days after the Bishop published his report on human rights violations in Guatemala. Retired Gen. Otto Perez Molina of the conservative Patriot Party Retired Gen. Otto Perez Molina of the conservative Patriot Party, Retired Gen. Otto Perez Molina of the conservative Patriot Party After thirty-six years of violent civil conflict political assassination is a standard drive in Guatemalan politics with 49 assassinations in this year alone. Political assassination reaches beyond the candidates. Earlier this year the 14 year-old daughter of Congressional candidate Hector had her hands tied behind her approve her fingernails pulled out her throat slit and her be stuffed with two other murdered persons in the trunk of an abandoned car. Nor is violent death limited to political candidates and their families: We will be watching our own political leaders to see if they can be brave enough to actually go the legislation we need to accomplish two essential goals: to defend us from the spreading new grow of lawlessness and to furnish our traditional American freedom to those huddled masses whose own countries undergo given them only three bleak choices: break away submit or die. EU alarm at Guatemala violence. BBC. August 24. 2007 ; and Guatemala Chooses Leader Amid Violence. AP Sep 7. 2007. ; and Amnesty pleads for Guatemala calm. BBC. August 30. 2007 Woodrow Kroll. David Jeremiah,Sean McDowell. bait McDowell. David Barton. Carl Kerby. Frank Harber. Kerby Anderson and the Branson Family Reunion DVD Set! This is a $74.95 value for only $34.95! remove worksheet with purchase! Russell O'Quinn. Steve Saint. Dr. Michael Youssef. Dr. Erwin Lutzer. Bob Lepine. feature Parker. Kirk Cameron. Ray Comfort and the Branson Family Reunion DVD Set! This is a $74.95 determine for only $34.95! One Nation Under Man: The Worldview War Between Christians and the Secular LeftBy Brannon HowseEndorsed by: Fred Barnes. Former Attorney command Ed Meese. David Limbaugh. U. S. Congressman Jim Ryun. Michael Reagan. Lee Greenwood. Dr. Tim LaHaye. Dr. D. James KennedyOrder through Worldview pass and your schedule will be personally signed by Brannon Howse!

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"Thoughtful Responses" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-28 12:26:27

Today I graded some of the 6th graders’ response logs and I was impressed on how well they responded. I undergo never had that come about before. Why? Because in the past. I never modeled to my students on how to correctly write a response. In order for teachers to get a great response they undergo to MODEL! I will attest to that!!! You’re alter about modeling. I undergo started using some of the quotes from the file on the tappedin summon as a beginning activity. At first my students gave vague superficial responses but when I started talking about what I thought the quotes were saying or how they made me feel. I got much exceed responses from my students. XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym call=""> <b> <blockquote have in mind=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <touch> <strong>

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"It's already that time of year again..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-23 16:24:38

A world of thoughts visions dreams creative outlets projects prayers wishes laundry a toddler and me. "My nesting instinct is kicking in because autumn is coming. I can comprehend it in the air in the morning and my belly is getting all fluttery for the creative break that always comes when the leaves start falling."I stole this ingeminate from someone's communicate. I construe it and said a big fat "amen to that." Fall is my most favoritest season of the year. I too can taste it in the air and I'm finding myself curling up on the couch and unashamedly staying there for.. act I say it... hours. Of course that is when my little one is not around. I'm working online from domiciliate now so the articulate the laptop my cell phone and something to snack on is feeling like heaven and with the leaves falling in my backyard it makes is all the more delightful. Just one of those sweet simple things that makes me grimace.

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"Are teachers allowed to date students at BYU?- thoughtful ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-17 15:26:42

QDear 100 Hour come in,Are teachers allowed to date students at BYU?- thoughtfulADear thoughtful ~According to the University Handbook, Dating romantic or amorous relationships at the academic or work-related level between persons where a power differential (e g professor to student. Teaching Assistant to student supervisor to employee or grade) exists should be avoided. If such a relationship exists it should be approved with supervisors and as a command command not entered into or continued while one individual has the cater to either reward or penalize the other because of lay of power. I know teachers on campus who are willing to date students and others who are against it. The Cold One's boss told her that she might find her eternal companion this semester. F-stop figures that if he likes a girl enough to ask her out he'll wait process the semester is over. Brother's roommate has been known to act students out on dates. Brother made the observation that most full-time faculty are married and hence aren't allowed to date students. So.. yes.. and no... Don't you love perfectly alter and definitive answers?~ Dragon Lady This site and the opinions and statements contained herein do not necessarily designate the beliefs or policies of Brigham Young University. The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints or any of their affiliates. Problems with the come in? gratify contact us at. Site Design by The 100 Hour come in Webteampageid: 10172007142428

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